Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.005661 0.005986 0.006323 0.006699 0.007108 0.007541 0.008033
2026-01-04 0.005166 0.005646 0.006168 0.006780 0.007484 0.008271 0.009225
2026-01-11 0.004787 0.005344 0.005969 0.006728 0.007633 0.008687 0.010025
2026-01-18 0.004521 0.005133 0.005837 0.006714 0.007794 0.009097 0.010815
2026-01-25 0.004281 0.004927 0.005686 0.006654 0.007876 0.009394 0.011468
2026-02-01 0.004177 0.004872 0.005704 0.006791 0.008200 0.010004 0.012559
2026-02-08 0.004011 0.004728 0.005601 0.006762 0.008300 0.010321 0.013273
2026-02-15 0.003874 0.004612 0.005523 0.006756 0.008423 0.010668 0.014048
2026-02-22 0.003712 0.004455 0.005383 0.006658 0.008412 0.010823 0.014549
2026-03-01 0.003569 0.004315 0.005258 0.006570 0.008405 0.010977 0.015054
2026-03-08 0.003472 0.004229 0.005198 0.006564 0.008508 0.011292 0.015823
2026-03-15 0.003302 0.004043 0.004997 0.006355 0.008309 0.011146 0.015850
2026-03-22 0.003229 0.003982 0.004962 0.006377 0.008447 0.011516 0.016748
2026-03-29 0.003180 0.003951 0.004967 0.006453 0.008667 0.012024 0.017924
2026-04-05 0.003091 0.003862 0.004887 0.006404 0.008696 0.012232 0.018600
2026-04-12 0.003020 0.003795 0.004836 0.006392 0.008777 0.012526 0.019455
2026-04-19 0.002938 0.003711 0.004756 0.006335 0.008785 0.012700 0.020102
2026-04-26 0.002921 0.003715 0.004801 0.006463 0.009089 0.013383 0.021780
2026-05-03 0.002856 0.003650 0.004744 0.006436 0.009141 0.013641 0.022658
2026-05-10 0.002802 0.003598 0.004704 0.006430 0.009228 0.013963 0.023696
2026-05-17 0.002724 0.003511 0.004610 0.006339 0.009167 0.014016 0.024182
2026-05-24 0.002653 0.003432 0.004525 0.006257 0.009118 0.014087 0.024710
2026-05-31 0.002607 0.003387 0.004490 0.006252 0.009196 0.014396 0.025792